Melco to Phase Out All VIP Operations at Studio City Macau by 2020

Posted on: January 17, 2019, 01:00h. 

Last updated on: January 16, 2019, 03:33h.

Philip Conneller @casinoorgphilc Read More
Expertise: Gaming Business, Regulation, Tribal Gaming.

Melco Resorts and Entertainment plans to close its VIP gaming operations at its Studio City property, apparently for good. The company announced Tuesday that it would cease VIP rolling chip operations at the casino on January 15, 2020.

Melco
Studio City was never meant to be a property aimed squarely at the VIP segment, but Melco’s decision to shut down all casino gaming still comes as a surprise. (Image: Melco Resorts International)

The surprise move comes a day after analysts for investment bank Maybank Kim Eng said that the enclave’s stricter smoking laws and a slowing Chinese economy would combine to create a “weak outlook” for the VIP segment.

Analysts predicted this week that Macau’s gross gaming revenue would actually contract in January, for the first time in over two years.

Macau was effectively “built” by the VIP segment, which is overwhelmingly composed of mainland Chinese high rollers with a mania for high-stakes baccarat. It’s a segment that once accounted for 60 percent of the enclaves’ revenues, and which transformed it into the world’s gambling capital, overtaking Las Vegas within four years of the 2002 liberalization of its casino market.

Tactical Switchup

But Melco hasn’t given up on the segment just yet. In fact, the move is likely to be entirely practical, according to analysts from Sanford C. Bernstein, who said in a note on Wednesday that the operator will likely move the VIP tables to its other properties, where it will stand to make better gains.

Macau has a cap on VIP tables per operator, but there is nothing to prevent operators from shuffling them around between properties.

“Studio City, which is 54 per cent owned by Melco, currently operates with 46 VIP tables (largely junket, but also direct VIP) and has had VIP tables since Q4 2016,” read the Bernstein note.

“While there should be no impact on VIP in 2019 at Studio City (although focus on this segment will likely be reduced) in 2020 the key will be for Melco to put the 46 tables to better use —? generate higher economic return on these tables at City of Dreams (and potentially Altira).”

Changing Face of Macau

Studio City opened in October 2015, a joint venture between Melco’s Lawrence Ho and Crown Resorts’ James Packer, although the latter sold his stake in the business in 2017. But the resort was never designed to cater purely for VIPs.

Launched in the midst of an economic downturn in Macau, triggered by Beijing’s corruption crackdown — a campaign against graft and ostentation that that sent high-rollers skedaddling and Macau spiraling into a 24-month economic downturn — Studio City was focused on the mass market, as the enclave sought to curb its reliance on the VIP sector and dig itself out of a hole.

Macau bottomed out in the summer of 2016 and began a resurgence, driven by the mass market and also, to its pleasant surprise, the gradual return of the VIP segment.

That growth appears to be slowing, and meanwhile Melco has become focused on attracting a new key segment, defined as the “premium mass” market. This is a wealthy, middle-class demographic that travels independently to casino resorts, rather than via junket operators, and bets roughly $250 to $400 per hand of baccarat.

The VIP segment overall generates less than 10 per cent of the EBITDA for Studio City, and, these days, Melco believes the crucial segment to target for continued, sustainable growth lies elsewhere.